Introduction:
In June 2024, the Russian Federation officially recognized the Taliban as the legitimate government of Afghanistan. This decision came at a time when most Western countries still refuse to grant such recognition. But what does this move mean for the people of Afghanistan? Is it in their interest — or is it a strategic maneuver driven by foreign agendas?
Russia’s Possible Motives:
- Security Concerns:
Russia is alarmed by the growing presence of ISIS (Khorasan branch) in Central Asia. By engaging diplomatically with the Taliban, Moscow seeks to influence regional security dynamics and prevent chaos near its southern borders. - Geopolitical Competition with the West:
Amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and tensions with NATO, Russia wants to assert its influence independently in the region. Recognizing the Taliban sends a clear message: Moscow does not wait for Western approval. - Economic Interests:
Afghanistan is rich in untapped natural resources. Like China, Russia may see potential economic gains in mining contracts, infrastructure development, and trade corridors in a lawless and resource-rich country.
Is It Beneficial for Afghanistan?
From the perspective of ordinary Afghans and national interests, the answer is complicated:
- If recognition had come with conditions — such as inclusive governance, respect for women’s rights, media freedom, and political reform — it might have been seen as a constructive step.
- But granting legitimacy to a non-elected regime without meaningful change only strengthens authoritarian control.
- Millions of Afghans, especially women, minorities, and exiled intellectuals, continue to suffer under a restrictive and non-representative regime.
Conclusion:
Russia’s decision appears to be more of a geopolitical transaction than a step toward Afghan peace and stability. As long as the current rulers do not represent the diverse voices of the Afghan nation, external recognition may reward power over justice and exclusion over inclusion.
